Prediction platforms

Hey guys, for those of you who’ve been using prediction platforms for a while — what kind of criteria do you use when making your picks? I’ve been focusing mostly on current form, map pool, and head-to-head results in CS2, but I still miss a lot of predictions. Are there any underrated factors you consider? Like maybe recent roster changes, player stats on specific maps, or even behind-the-scenes stuff like interviews? Would really appreciate any tips or if you could share how you usually break things down.